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Idea:The Great AI Winnowing: From Bubble to Oligopoly
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=== What Determines Who Survives === '''Capital Intensity''': * Ability to sustain multi-billion dollar R&D spending * Access to patient capital during profit-free periods * Financial resources to acquire failing competitors '''Strategic Positioning''': * Control of critical chokepoints in AI value chain * Integration with existing dominant platforms * Government relationships and regulatory advantages '''Network Effects''': * User data that improves with scale * Developer ecosystems that create switching costs * Cross-platform integration that increases stickiness '''Execution Excellence''': * Ability to maintain quality during rapid scaling * Operational efficiency in delivering AI services * Speed of product iteration and improvement
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