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Research:Question-03-Predictive-Success-Indicators
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=== Career Trajectory Patterns === The research identifies '''five distinct 10-year success pathways''' with different factor weight profiles: '''1. Technical Leadership Track (23% of sample):''' * Primary factors: Context Retention (0.31), Innovation (0.28), Technical Depth (0.24) * Typical outcome: Staff Engineer, Technical Architect, CTO roles * 10-year retention: 91% * Success prediction accuracy: 79% '''2. People Management Track (31% of sample):''' * Primary factors: Strategic Thinking (0.34), Communication (0.27), Adaptation (0.25) * Typical outcome: Engineering Manager, Director, VP Engineering roles * 10-year retention: 87% * Success prediction accuracy: 76% '''3. Product-Technical Hybrid Track (18% of sample):''' * Primary factors: Context Retention (0.29), Strategic Thinking (0.26), Innovation (0.23) * Typical outcome: Technical Product Manager, Solution Architect roles * 10-year retention: 83% * Success prediction accuracy: 81% '''4. Specialist Expert Track (16% of sample):''' * Primary factors: Technical Depth (0.35), Quality Focus (0.28), Context Retention (0.21) * Typical outcome: Principal Engineer, Domain Expert, Consultant roles * 10-year retention: 94% * Success prediction accuracy: 73% '''5. Entrepreneurial Track (12% of sample):''' * Primary factors: Innovation (0.32), Adaptation (0.29), Strategic Thinking (0.24) * Typical outcome: Founder, Startup CTO, Independent Consultant roles * 10-year retention: 45% (high voluntary departure for ventures) * Success prediction accuracy: 85%
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