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Idea:The Asset Inflation Paradox During Technological Deflation
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=== Why Markets Could Triple Despite Output Deflation === # '''Concentration Effects''': Fewer companies capture more value - S&P 500 becomes "magnificent 7" becomes "fantastic 3" - Market cap consolidation similar to late 1800s trusts - Index funds forced to buy survivors at any price # '''Monetary Debasement''': More dollars chasing fewer productive assets - Fed balance sheet expansion continues - International dollar flows into US markets - Negative real yields force money into equities # '''Productivity Claims''': Each share represents more automated output - Revenue per share increases as human costs eliminated - Margins expand for survivors with sustainable moats - Free cash flow multiples justify higher valuations
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