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Research:Question-42-AI-Development-Economics
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=== Predictive Economic Models === '''2025-2030 Projection Models:''' '''Optimistic Scenario (High Quality Focus):''' * '''Global GDP Impact:''' $1.8 trillion annually by 2030 * '''Effective Developers:''' 18 million by 2030 * '''Quality Maintenance:''' Stable or improving customer experience metrics * '''Market Health:''' Sustainable competitive dynamics '''Base Case Scenario (Current Trends):''' * '''Global GDP Impact:''' $1.5 trillion annually by 2030 * '''Effective Developers:''' 15 million by 2030 * '''Quality Challenge:''' Continued quality-velocity trade-offs * '''Market Correction:''' Quality-focused investment surge in 2027-2028 '''Pessimistic Scenario (Quality Crisis):''' * '''Global GDP Impact:''' $1.1 trillion annually by 2030 * '''Effective Developers:''' 11 million by 2030 * '''Market Disruption:''' Customer backlash against low-quality rapid development * '''Industry Reset:''' Forced return to quality-focused development practices
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