Editing Research:Question-18-AI-Capability-Prediction (section)

=== Domain-Specific Patterns ===

Different AI application domains exhibit distinct predictability characteristics:

'''Natural Language Processing:''' High predictability for scaling improvements, moderate predictability for new capabilities, with established benchmarks providing reliable forecasting foundations.

'''Computer Vision:''' Moderate predictability overall, with high predictability for established tasks but significant uncertainty for novel visual reasoning capabilities.

'''Robotics and Embodied AI:''' Low predictability due to hardware integration complexity and real-world deployment challenges that don't scale according to computational laws.

'''Scientific AI Applications:''' Variable predictability depending on domain complexity, with physics simulations showing higher predictability than biological system modeling.