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Idea:Synthesis: Eight Economists on Technological Deflation and Value
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== The Inflation/Deflation Dance == === Why Both Occur Simultaneously === The synthesis explains the paradox: # '''Technological goods''': Exponential deflation (Brynjolfsson) # '''Human services''': Persistent inflation (Baumol) # '''Status goods''': Competitive inflation (Cowen) # '''Asset prices''': Bubble inflation (Perez) # '''Aggregate effect''': Depends on weights and measurement === The Future Trajectory === Combining all perspectives suggests: '''Near-term''' (2024-2030): * Continued paradox of abundance and stagnation * AI frenzy phase, bubble formation likely * Inequality continues widening * Political instability increases '''Medium-term''' (2030-2040): * Potential crisis and reset (Perez cycle) * Institutional adaptation possible * Deployment phase if managed well * Or extended stagnation if not '''Long-term''' (2040+): * Either golden age of abundance * Or permanent class stratification * Depends on policy choices today
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