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Idea:The Asset Inflation Paradox During Technological Deflation
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== Types of Asset Inflation During Deflation == === 1. Equity Inflation === '''Mechanism''': Stocks represent claims on future automated cash flows * P/E ratios become meaningless as "E" approaches zero in deflated terms * Stocks valued on revenue multiples or user metrics * Market cap concentration in AI-era survivors * Growth becomes zero-sum battle for market share === 2. Real Estate Inflation === '''Mechanism''': Land/location remain scarce while construction costs plummet * Prime real estate in tech hubs becomes hyper-valuable * Construction democratized but location isn't * Remote work changes but doesn't eliminate geography * Physical assets hedge against monetary debasement === 3. Intellectual Property Inflation === '''Mechanism''': Patents, copyrights, and data become the only scarce inputs * Winner-take-all IP portfolios * Data network effects create moats * Brand value disconnected from production costs * Platform control points extract increasing rents === 4. Alternative Assets Inflation === '''Mechanism''': Store-of-value assets during monetary expansion * Art, collectibles, crypto appreciate * Hedge against both deflation and monetary debasement * Speculation driven by excess liquidity * Status symbols in a world of abundance
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